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The local race part 2: acquisition vs retention

In Part 1, I discussed one major axis of the local race; managed vs self service. Here we’re going to dive into the second axis; acquisition vs retention.

The acquisition side of the fight is currently represented by the daily deal giants.  Groupon and Living Social have proven that they can push a huge amount of discounted customers through a local merchant’s door.

This is a big deal!  For those of us in the web business, we’ve always been able to “buy” customers/traffic from from google.  With a few bucks and some creative keywords, you can get a huge pipeline of traffic flowing towards your online business.  This has never before been available to a local merchant!

In the other corner you’ve got tools that seem more suited for retention.  Foursquare and Yelp are leading the pack, with SCVNGR, Gowalla, and services like TopGuest chasing behind.  These services close the loop with the consumer after an initial purchase.  They know where the consumer has been (in theory), and they know when the consumer returns to a particular location.  This means they can reward the consumer for repeat visits through either discounts, or virtual prizes like foursquare mayorships.

Yes, these lines are not totally clear. GroupOn could be helping with some retention. Mailing a groupon like discount to your existing customers (if you’re tracking them) is a great way to reward them for their loyalty.  Foursquare, on the other hand, is also driving customer acquisition, even if they’re not claiming credit for it (monetizing) as aggressively  as GroupOn.  If you look at the different types of campaigns they offer their merchants, you can see a lot of these help drive new customers via “swarms” and “flashes”:

Ultimately, the value is in the acquisition.  Like I mentioned before, the local world previously did not have access to an on-demand source of customers.  There was no local adwords with access to huge sources of traffic.  GroupOn is growing at an insane rate because companies know they can rely on groupon to drive feet through their door (more on this in a subsequent post), and this is valuable enough to give up a big portion of sales.

Retention on the other hand, will be most valuable when used to prove out the ROI for acquisition, not on its own.  Yes, there will be successful businesses built solely on the retention piece, but they won’t be as big as the ones focused on acquisition.  As with any source of traffic, its only useful if it converts and you can get paying customers from it.  Groupon will not be able to continue at this pace if it can’t help merchants prove that the traffic is converting into regular loyal customers.

 

 

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Don’t underestimate groupon or the daily deal rocketship

There’s been a lot of daily deal bashing posts lately, and I wanted to weigh in since I think there are quite a few misconceptions floating around.

The Name

First, I’d like to rename the whole category because i think a lot of the confusion comes from the name.  ”Daily Deals” sells the whole category short and makes the industry sound like a single scammy marketing campaign.  I would like to use the words “local ecommerce”, because what this category has done is bridge the gap between web marketing and local commerce via an online purchase.  Steve Cheney, head of BD at GroupMe, said“The real innovation Groupon brought to the table wasn’t in advertising deals per se, it was their ability to profit off of closing the attribution loop in online-to-offline commerce.”

Yes, this has much bigger implications than discounts….

The Value

Second, lets take a look at the value proposition to merchants.  What do these successful “local ecommerce” sites do?  They drive traffic through the door of a local business, i.e. customer acquisition.  For web-only ecommerce businesses, you can simply go to google to buy tons traffic via adwords (and even then its still difficult).  Local merchants don’t have this option.  Adwords doesn’t work for them because there is no way to close the loop and track the conversion (thats why google wanted to buy groupon).

To put it simply, the local ecommerce world is about providing an on-demand source of traffic that can be tracked to the merchants door.

This is massively valuable to merchants!  Acquiring customers is the only way to get into business or stay in business.  This is worth (in the right situations) giving up a big portion of sales to get that traffic!  As a result, the players that are providing this at scale, GroupOn and Living Social, are growing at a formidable rate.

The Problem

Ok, so now that we’ve talked about the value that these services provide, lets address all these negative stories that we keep hearing about.  Can running a deal like this cause problems?

Absolutely, you just have to look to the online-only marketing world to see that it is an art and a science!  A very sophisticated industry has bubbled up around SEO, SEM, and display advertising.  They offer targeting, segmenting, retargeting tools, that can be bought on CPC, CPM, and CPA basis.  It takes years to get to the point where you understand all of these options.

There-in lies the problem.  In two short years, the “local ecommerce” industry, has put the power of 10 years of internet marketing prowess directly into the hands of local merchants, who are new to the game.  Rocky from TechCrunch gets it right when he says “The daily deals aren’t as simple as running newspaper ads. There is a lot of complexity and merchants don’t know where to turn for advice. So they get it from the deal providers.” They don’t even have the tracking tools on their side to track when they’ve acquired a new customer or how much that customer is worth to them over their lifetime.

In short, local merchants will have a lot to learn so that they can take advantage of a medium that is much more effective and trackable than newspaper advertisements…

The Solution

Round one of the local ecommerce battle is over, whats next?  To overcome the problems that have cropped up subsequent rounds will focus on the following area: tracking, targeting, and merchant education.

You need very concrete metrics (tracking and targeting) to figure out if a marketing campaign was successful, and right now merchants don’t have those tools. Think POS systems that calculate thing like the upsell amount per discounted customer or customer lifetime value (CLV).  On the targeting front, the difference in running a successful campaign might be in working with a more targeted list, like Gilt City (luxury) or Thrillist (male) to drive the right kind of traffic.

The biggest key here is learning.  Even before merchants can start learning how to use these tools, they need to learn lot more about the web.  There’s a lot of catching up to do, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see 3rd party agency like organizations popping up to represent local merchants across all these different web properties (Groupon, Yelp, Foursquare, etc)

I’ll do a follow up post to elaborate on the solutions, but the point is that local ecommerce isn’t going anywhere.  Bringing the power of the web to small local businesses is a MASSIVE opportunity, and we’ve barely seen the tip of the iceberg.

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The local (daily deal) race: self service

If you haven’t noticed already, theres been a lot of hype around the group buying concept. Sites are popping up like wack-a-mole, google made a huge acquisition offer, and murmurs of IPOs are in the air. Why?

All the excitement is about cracking “local”, or cracking the secret to the local advertising market.  There are millions of small business merchants out there that are really passionate about what their businesses, and they want to tell the world. Up until now they were doing things like handing out flyers, taking out ads in local publications, and paying to be in the yellow pages. Some of the more tech savvy buyers have even tried things like google adwords, or claiming their business on yelp, but this is only the tip of the ice berg. The vast majority of local business have not made the jump to online marketing, and here-in lies the opportunity. The world is racing towards providing an advertising or promotion solution to the mass market of small business merchants.  Group Buying is just the first channel to break through and scale.

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Self Service (technology) vs Managed Service

Now that we have an idea of what the objective is, lets take a look at the first of two major races within the worl of local; moving towards self service. In one corner you have GroupOn, the local advertising titan. Via a resource intensive / sales heavy strategy they went out into the market and literally pulled local merchants into the online advertising world. GroupOn structured the campaigns, wrote the copy, designed the creative, and most importantly amassed a huge distribution list via a very simple channel, email.  They acted as an agency for their own ad platform.

In the other corner, you’ve got Foursquare, the tech world’s darling LBS service, and one of the best product teams on the planet. They’re going directly for the self service route by building easy to use tools for local merchants . This is a very web / new media approach to the problem, one where “sleezy” sales ( disclaimer, I’m a sales person, so no offense implied) people are avoided, and the simplicity of the product is all that is needed for success.

So how will this race play out? As you can see in the traditional advertising world, agencies (the service layer in the middle) have only gotten stronger, so we will never get to a 100% self service model. On the self service side, there are a variety of tools like ad sense, hubspot, and clickable that have arguably built higher margin businesses going straight to a willing consumer base.

The real key in how this translates into the local space is the merchant, yes the customer. They are the most important piece of the equation, and they are not ready to become internet marketing gurus. In the thousands of phone calls / hundreds of hours spent on the phone with local merchants while at Scoop St, I can tell you these business owners have other priorities.  They’ve got customers of their own, which are a huge hassle, and they have to manage a staff of employees on-site.  Merchants REALLY want to promote their businesses, its a natural instinct for a business owner, but they don’t have time for complicated technical solutions.  To make matters worse, its still unclear to them what the return is on these marketing schemes (will discuss in a follow on post).

Knowing more about the local merchant, its going to take years until they are comfortable enough to use a self service platform, my guess is at least 5 years before it reaches scale.  In the meantime, the companies who have the efficient account managers and sales people on hand to help atract merchants will continue to take the lead.  Groupon and Living Social will continue to grow, and if they’re smart they’ll try to educate merchants to use self-serve platforms.  This services layer will be key!  Value will be created by companies that can build and scale these teams, even if its 3rd party agency like teams that run campaigns for merchants across all platforms.

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Foursquare vs craigslist?

You know you have a sticky service when your users start using it for things it wasn’t intended to do…

What better way to find real estate than to look next to your favorite bars, cafes, and restaurants?

Heck, I’d pay foursquare to see those ads for the month or two I was looking for an apartment!

( I know it’s in French, but here’s the “tip” on foursquare for an apartment)

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